Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +18 (96-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Batum * | 33 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 32 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Will Barton | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jared Jeffries | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Lee * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jared Sullinger | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jeff Green | 22 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jason Collins | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kris Joseph | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter