Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +6 (101-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Love * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 12-16 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Malcolm Lee * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 35 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 16 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Williams | 11 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Blake Griffin * | 32 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 27 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 25 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter