Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -12 (84-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jefferson * | 34 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 31 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 23 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Earl Watson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greivis Vasquez * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 29 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jason Smith | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 20 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Darius Miller | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter