Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +40 (117-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markieff Morris * | 25 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Luis Scola | 21 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 18 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kendall Marshall | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Wesley Johnson | 16 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Luke Zeller | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Singler * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 24 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Andre Drummond | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 20 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Corey Maggette | 15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Austin Daye | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Will Bynum | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kim English | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter