Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (94-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker * | 37 | 4-15 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 34 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 26 | 7-11 | 7-10 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 41 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 37 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 27 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 23 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Lou Williams | 29 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Devin Harris | 23 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
* = starter