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Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.4% 77.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Margin 40.5% 59.5% - โœ—
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 51.9% 48.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.1% 49.9% - โœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics -12 (83-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 40 6-14 3-6 3-4 4 6 1 0 1 18 14 -
Deron Williams * 39 3-12 1-3 1-3 4 7 0 1 1 8 7 -
Brook Lopez * 17 4-10 0-0 1-1 10 1 1 0 2 9 9 -
Gerald Wallace * 17 2-10 1-4 0-0 2 3 3 0 2 5 1 -
Kris Humphries * 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 0 3 6 -
Reggie Evans 33 2-4 0-0 1-3 10 2 2 0 2 5 13 -
Andray Blatche 29 7-14 0-0 3-4 13 1 2 0 3 17 16 -
Jerry Stackhouse 22 5-6 5-6 2-2 1 1 3 0 1 17 15 -
C.J. Watson 18 3-7 0-4 7-10 2 0 0 0 1 13 7 -
Keith Bogans 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Paul Pierce * 39 4-13 0-3 6-11 9 7 2 0 5 14 14 -
Jason Terry * 35 3-8 1-3 6-7 4 2 1 0 0 13 12 -
Brandon Bass * 29 7-12 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 2 2 16 8 -
Kevin Garnett * 29 7-13 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 0 3 16 11 -
Rajon Rondo * 17 3-9 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 6 1 -
Courtney Lee 27 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 4 3 -
Jeff Green 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
Jared Sullinger 14 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
Leandro Barbosa 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -1 -
Jason Collins 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
Chris Wilcox 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 5 -

* = starter