Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +2 (84-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Batum * | 44 | 6-15 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 42 | 6-21 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 41 | 8-19 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Will Barton | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jared Jeffries | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 36 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| AJ Price * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 26 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Martell Webster | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter