Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -2 (77-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David West * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | - |
| George Hill * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Paul George * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Sam Young | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Green | 16 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 43 | 12-28 | 5-11 | 11-13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 18 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 38 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-12 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Darius Morris * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Chris Duhon | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Antawn Jamison | 22 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter