Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +2 (100-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 28 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dominique Jones * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Darren Collison | 29 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Vince Carter | 28 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Elton Brand | 18 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Troy Murphy | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 41 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 35 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 30 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 28 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Lavoy Allen * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Nick Young | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kwame Brown | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Maalik Wayns | 13 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter