Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +3 (104-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 23 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Luis Scola | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 38 | 13-21 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 26 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 31 | 4-13 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Lavoy Allen * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 19 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Nick Young | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Maalik Wayns | 7 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Kwame Brown | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter