Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +11 (96-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 33 | 6-20 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Malcolm Lee * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 25 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Josh Howard | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Derrick Williams | 10 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 38 | 7-19 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| David Lee * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 31 | 8-17 | 1-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Carl Landry | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 22 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Draymond Green | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Charles Jenkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Tyler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter