Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +8 (103-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 12-16 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 32 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Malcolm Lee * | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Josh Howard | 22 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 18 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 39 | 12-17 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 11-17 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Jared Jeffries | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Will Barton | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter