Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +3 (111-108). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Anderson * | 47 | 13-23 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 24 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 43 | 10-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 41 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 41 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 37 | 3-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Xavier Henry | 11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Jason Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 37 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 34 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 33 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 29 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 28 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Luis Scola | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
* = starter