Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +8 (106-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 39 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 39 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 37 | 7-23 | 3-8 | 13-14 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 13 | - |
| Darius Morris * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Chris Duhon | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Antawn Jamison | 26 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 41 | 7-17 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 38 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 36 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 21 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter