Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +4 (108-104). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson Varejao * | 36 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 36 | 9-22 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 31 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Pargo * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Daniel Gibson | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Omri Casspi | 18 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| CJ Miles | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Samardo Samuels | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 36 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 34 | 9-18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| JJ Redick | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Gustavo Ayon | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter