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2012-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% +2.6 โœ— (8.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“
Margin 48.6% 51.4% +0.3 โœ— (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—

Actual: Golden State Warriors -6 (101-107). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danilo Gallinari * 48 8-22 3-11 2-2 7 2 2 0 2 21 8 -
Kenneth Faried * 47 8-13 0-0 2-6 17 0 2 2 1 18 25 -
Andre Iguodala * 47 7-24 2-7 3-3 12 8 1 0 2 19 14 -
Ty Lawson * 47 3-13 0-3 3-6 1 10 2 0 6 9 3 -
Kosta Koufos * 24 3-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 5 0 7 13 -
Andre Miller 30 5-14 0-0 3-4 5 9 1 0 1 13 13 -
JaVale McGee 21 4-9 0-0 1-2 12 0 0 2 1 9 13 -
Corey Brewer 21 5-12 0-3 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 11 3 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 54 9-26 5-15 0-2 5 1 0 2 3 23 2 -
David Lee * 48 7-19 0-0 4-6 9 5 4 1 2 18 16 -
Stephen Curry * 37 7-17 3-6 2-2 5 3 3 0 4 19 9 -
Harrison Barnes * 18 2-5 1-1 2-4 5 1 0 1 1 7 8 -
Festus Ezeli * 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jarrett Jack 37 4-11 0-1 0-0 8 5 2 0 1 8 11 -
Carl Landry 35 9-14 0-0 4-7 9 3 0 1 2 22 19 -
Richard Jefferson 23 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 2 3 -
Andris Biedrins 19 0-2 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 0 0 2 10 -
Draymond Green 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kent Bazemore 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Charles Jenkins 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter