Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | -0.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.2% | 25.8% | -5.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +4 (101-97). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 42 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 39 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Vince Carter | 30 | 6-15 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Troy Murphy | 30 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Chris Kaman | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Dominique Jones | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 41 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 28 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 41 | 10-22 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 22 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 20 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cory Higgins | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter