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2013-03-24

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 96.9% 3.1% -
Bradley-Terry 96.8% 3.2% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% -
Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% -
Log Adjusted 3.3% 96.7% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +12 (70-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Paige * 35 3-10 2-6 1-2 1 3 5 0 4 9 4 -
D. Strickland * 33 3-9 0-1 3-3 3 4 1 0 1 9 7 -
J. McAdoo * 32 5-19 0-0 1-2 6 0 4 1 2 11 1 -
R. Bullock Jr. * 32 1-7 1-4 2-2 6 1 1 0 3 5 3 -
P.J. Hairston * 32 6-17 3-9 0-0 9 1 2 0 0 15 10 -
L. McDonald 17 1-3 0-1 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
B. Johnson 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J.P. Tokoto 5 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Simmons 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Hubert 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. James 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Self 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Garrett 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Releford * 38 9-13 1-1 3-5 8 0 3 0 2 22 18 -
J. Withey * 36 6-11 0-0 4-4 16 2 1 5 6 16 23 -
K. Young * 34 4-7 0-0 2-3 9 1 0 0 5 10 8 -
E. Johnson * 28 1-6 1-3 2-2 4 4 1 0 2 5 6 -
B. McLemore * 24 0-9 0-6 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 2 -2 -
N. Tharpe 27 3-6 3-4 3-4 3 2 1 0 3 12 9 -
P. Ellis 8 1-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. White III 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Traylor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Roberts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
R. Adams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
E. Manning 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter