Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +6 (96-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. McKenith | 0 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 24 | - |
| S. Smith | 0 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A. Thompson | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| T. Cotton | 0 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 7 | - |
| B. Brown | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Sant | 0 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Deane | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Hoover | 0 | 9-12 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| S. MacKay | 0 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Hudson | 0 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
* = starter