Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +11.9 | ✗ (21.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -10 (71-81). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard Thompson * | 34 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Chase Fieler * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brett Comer * | 31 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Sherwood Brown * | 26 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Eric McKnight * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Christophe Varidel | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Eddie Murray | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dajuan Graf | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Filip Cvjeticanin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Thames * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jamaal Franklin * | 36 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Chase Tapley * | 32 | 7-18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Deshawn Stephens * | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| James Rahon | 24 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Winston Shepard | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Skylar Spencer | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter