Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +4.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +21 (75-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thompson * | 38 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 10-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | - |
| A. Myles * | 32 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| N. Lindsey * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Stewart * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Fortunat * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Z. Sadler | 18 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Stewart | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| S. Valentine | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| K. Alford | 10 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Pereira | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Bursis | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Nwaniemeke | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Kemp * | 39 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Paris Roberts-Campbell * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Robert Sampson * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Miguel Paul * | 26 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ty Armstrong * | 24 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Akeem Richmond | 28 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Prince Williams | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Michael Zangari | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Yasin Kolo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Francis Edosomwan | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Peyton Robbins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shamarr Bowden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter