Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.4% | 87.6% | +10.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +22 (70-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Wilson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Geron Johnson * | 37 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Joe Jackson * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Stephens * | 32 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Adonis Thomas * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Shaq Goodwin * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tarik Black | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Chris Crawford | 30 | 2-13 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -5 | - |
| Antonio Barton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adreian Payne * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 25 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 25 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Travis Trice | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Matt Costello | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Bohnhoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter