Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma Sooners | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +15 (70-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma Sooners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Osby * | 37 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| J. Hornbeak * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. M'Baye * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| S. Pledger * | 22 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| S. Grooms * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Hield | 25 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| I. Cousins | 22 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Clark | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Neal | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Fitzgerald | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| X. Thames * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| J. Rahon | 19 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| S. Spencer | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Shepard | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter