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2013-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 3.5% 96.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.0% 91.0% - โœ“
Margin 1.5% 98.5% +23.1 โœ“ (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 12.4% 87.6% - โœ“

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derick Beltran * 39 6-14 4-8 5-7 3 3 1 0 1 21 13 -
Javan Mitchell * 38 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 3 2 7 10 -
Brandon Moore * 29 2-2 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 4 0 7 12 -
Jameel Grace * 26 1-8 0-2 2-2 7 3 2 0 2 4 6 -
Cameron Monroe * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Malcolm Miller 24 3-12 3-10 0-2 2 0 0 1 1 9 -1 -
Yondarius Johnson 17 2-3 1-1 2-3 1 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
Christopher Hyder 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Madut Bol 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Pangos * 38 5-12 4-9 2-2 3 5 2 0 1 16 13 -
Kelly Olynyk * 36 8-15 0-1 5-7 10 1 1 0 3 21 15 -
G. Bell Jr. * 33 4-9 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 11 2 -
Elias Harris * 32 2-10 0-1 1-2 8 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Mike Hart * 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 0 8 -
David Stockton 29 1-3 0-1 2-3 1 7 0 0 2 4 7 -
Sam Dower 7 2-2 1-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Drew Barham 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Przemek Karnowski 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
Guy Edi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter