Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +12 (84-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Bull | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Phil Pressey * | 38 | 7-19 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Alex Oriakhi * | 33 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Laurence Bowers * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jabari Brown * | 28 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Keion Bell * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Earnest Ross | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Criswell | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Negus Webster-Chan | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Stefan Jankovic | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Hornung * | 39 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Dorian Green * | 34 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 11-12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 26 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Colton Iverson * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Jon Octeus | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Daniel Bejarano | 16 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Gerson Santo | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter