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2013-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Fairfield Stags Kent State Golden Flashes Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Margin 28.2% 71.8% +5.1 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“

Actual: Kent State Golden Flashes +2 (73-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fairfield Stags

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Needham * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 3 0 2 22 31 -
A. Sidibe * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 1 1 2 14 -
D. Wade * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 7 1 0 3 6 11 -
M. Barrow * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 5 11 -
M. Gilbert * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 10 14 -
C. Johnson 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 18 23 -
J. Jenkins 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 6 10 -
K. Matthews 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Johnston 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Nickerson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kent State Golden Flashes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Brewer * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 5 8 -
D. Goodson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 0 8 19 -
R. Holt * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 18 24 -
M. Henniger * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 2 8 16 -
C. Evans * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 3 6 8 -
B. Pope 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 10 18 -
K. Thomas 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 8 7 -
M. Tabb 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 4 9 -
D. Manley 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 5 8 -
C. Ortiz 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Spicer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter