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2013-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Spread Result
Elo 72.7% 27.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.1% 34.9% - โœ“
Margin 64.7% 35.3% -3.3 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 74.2% 25.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.3% 25.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.6% 43.4% - โœ“

Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -4 (65-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Fitzgerald * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 1 25 36 -
Todd Fletcher * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 6 14 -
Taylor Broekhuis * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 3 6 11 -
Kyle Green * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 18 24 -
DeLovell Earls * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 5 11 -
Cam Michael 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 7 11 -
Marek Olesinski 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
Max Yon 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Justin Hammonds 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
Kamryn Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tre' Coggins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tavita * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 3 9 -
C. Standhardinger * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 0 0 16 28 -
H. Brereton * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 7 8 -
V. Joaquim * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 3 2 3 -
M. Clair * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Spearman 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 3 8 15 -
I. Fotu 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 3 2 24 34 -
G. Jefferson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 1 -
M. Harper 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 1 0 3 6 -
D. Rozitis 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
B. Jawato 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter