Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -13 (54-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hodgson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Petrulis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Dellavedova * | 38 | 7-14 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| J. Giusti * | 37 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Holt * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| M. Young * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Waldow * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Levesque | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| P. McCoy | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Rowley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Gibson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Hammonds II * | 30 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Knight * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| B. Massey * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| S. Jones | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Hunter | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Sulton | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Knight | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Cintron | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Gallman | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jones | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Walker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter