Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State Spartans | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | +11.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.5% | 96.5% | +18.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +11 (67-56). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Johnson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 31 | - |
| Pendarvis Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Jamel Fuentes * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Malcolm Hawkins * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Goode * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Rashid Gaston | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Marese Phelps | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kris Brown | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Harris * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Akil Mitchell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Justin Anderson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Jontel Evans * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Paul Jesperson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Evan Nolte | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Teven Jones | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mike Tobey | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Darion Atkins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Taylor Barnette | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter