Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 29 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Travis Trice | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Matt Costello | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Thomas * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Aaron Craft * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 34 | - |
| Sam Thompson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Amir Williams * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| L. Smith Jr. * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Shannon Scott | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Evan Ravenel | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| LaQuinton Ross | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
* = starter