Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +21 (83-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Snaer * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 32 | - |
| Aaron Thomas * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Devon Bookert * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Okaro White * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kiel Turpin * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Montay Brandon | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Terrance Shannon | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ian Miller | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Robert Gilchrist | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Terry Whisnant | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bullock * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Marcus Paige * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 22 | - |
| P.J. Hairston * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Dexter Strickland * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| J. McAdoo * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Leslie McDonald | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Desmond Hubert | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Brice Johnson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel James | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Frank Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Manor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Wade Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Luke Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Denzel Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter