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2013-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 31.1% 68.9% +4.4 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 24.9% 75.1% -
Efficiency 4.9% 95.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.9% 88.1% -
Log Adjusted 11.9% 88.1% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +14 (70-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Unruh * 40 2-11 2-10 0-0 6 4 1 0 2 6 4 -
C. Osborne * 39 8-12 0-0 2-5 12 2 0 0 2 18 18 -
T. Svihovec * 35 1-9 0-1 4-4 4 4 1 0 4 6 2 -
D. Barden * 34 8-18 0-1 2-2 7 1 1 0 2 18 7 -
T. Huskisson * 32 3-7 1-3 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 7 5 -
P. Garnica 11 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
G. Tucker 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
B. Douvier 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jamar * 38 7-12 1-4 4-6 10 4 2 1 1 19 23 -
W. Cherry * 35 9-19 2-8 1-2 2 3 1 1 3 21 6 -
J. Gregory * 27 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 5 5 -
S. Coleman * 26 2-6 0-2 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 6 9 -
E. Hutchison 28 3-4 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 1 3 9 8 -
K. Deshields 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Weisner 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
A. Martin 12 2-4 0-0 1-3 4 0 1 1 0 5 7 -
K. Henderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Wiley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter