Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsahn Basabe * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Aaron White * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Marble * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mike Gesell * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Adam Woodbury * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Eric May | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Clemmons | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Zach McCabe | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Gabriel Olaseni | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 39 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Travis Trice | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Matt Costello | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter