Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Kentucky Norse | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Kentucky Norse
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Watson * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Eshaunte Jones * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Ethan Faulkner * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Chad Jackson * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| John Staley * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tyler White | 21 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Todd Johnson | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Monaco | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Nate Snodgrass | 9 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Jack Flournoy | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Dickerson * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Cody Doolin * | 35 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Chris Adams * | 32 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mark Tollefsen * | 29 | 7-10 | 4-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Avry Holmes * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Tim Derksen | 26 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Frank Rogers | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gavin Hoffmann | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tao Xu | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter