Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +6 (73-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Vee Sanford * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Devon Scott * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Robinson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Khari Price | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matt Derenbecker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roosevelt Jones * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Rotnei Clarke * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Andrew Smith * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Kellen Dunham * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Khyle Marshall * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Alex Barlow | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Kameron Woods | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Erik Fromm | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Chase Stigall | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter