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2013-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.4% 84.6% - โœ“
Margin 5.4% 94.6% +15.7 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.7% 95.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.5% 95.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +17 (80-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Green * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 15 13 -
J. Eddie * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 21 27 -
C. Raines * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 1 8 18 -
C.J. Barksdale * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 5 13 -
R. Brown * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 2 5 -
M. Rankin 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
M. Wood 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
W. Johnston 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. van Zegeren 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
C. Beyer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Racer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Donlon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Howell * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 1 0 2 22 35 -
L. Brown * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 12 1 0 2 9 27 -
S. Wood * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 13 15 -
C.J. Leslie * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 3 15 22 -
T.J. Warren * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 13 20 -
R. Purvis 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
T. Lewis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
J. Vandenberg 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Cannon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter