Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✗ (23.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +23 (64-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sypkens * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Corey Hawkins * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Player #46690 * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Howley * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Josh Ritchart | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Les | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Player #61294 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Player #61295 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Player #53127 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Player #61296 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Royer * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Drake U'u * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Chris Eversley * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Reese Morgan * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Joel Awich | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter