Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Sam Houston Bearkats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Garner * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 22 | - |
| LaQuentin Miles * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Robert Crawford * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Borden * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Oliver Wells * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Harks | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| DeShone McClure | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Lenell Brown | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Daouda Berete | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Terrell Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Thomas * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Paul Baxter * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Harwell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Darius Gatson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Michael Holyfield * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Terrance Motley | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jeremy McKay | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Will Bond | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Marquel McKinney | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Nathaniel Mason | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter