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Buffalo Bulls 76
@
Ball State Cardinals 61
2013-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Buffalo Bulls Ball State Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 57.6% 42.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% - ✗
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 ✓ (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 71.7% 28.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 72.0% 28.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.7% 45.3% - ✓

Actual: Ball State Cardinals -15 (61-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Buffalo Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Watson * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 8 4 0 1 5 17 -
Will Regan * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 0 2 36 44 -
Jarryn Skeete * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 3 3 11 -
Javon McCrea * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 3 2 1 2 18 33 -
Auraum Nuiriankh * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Raphell Thomas-Edwards 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 8 13 -
Cameron Downing 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
Corey Raley-Ross 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Majok Majok * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 2 2 10 19 -
Jauwan Scaife * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 28 27 -
Chris Bond * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 4 2 0 3 10 22 -
Matt Kamieniecki * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 5 11 -
Jesse Berry 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 8 8 -
Marcus Posley 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
Tyler Koch 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Bo Calhoun 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 0 6 -
Zach Fields 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter