Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +6 (73-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 39 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Drmic * | 35 | 7-20 | 2-9 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 3 | - |
| Derrick Marks * | 34 | 4-22 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -4 | - |
| Igor Hadziomerovic * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Watkins * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Mikey Thompson | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Buckner | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Thames * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 17 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 34 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. Shepard | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Rahon | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| S. Spencer | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter