Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | +1.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +18 (60-42). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Needham * | 38 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Colin Nickerson * | 37 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Maurice Barrow * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Desmond Wade * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Amadou Sidibe * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Coleman Johnson | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Gilbert | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josip Mikulic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steve Johnston | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Justin Jenkins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keith Matthews | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Kates * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Michael Alvarado * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Roberto Colonette * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Mohamed Koita * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rhamel Brown * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Emmy Andujar | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| RaShawn Stores | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Shane Richards | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| CJ Jones | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan McCoy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter