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2013-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Result
Elo 86.8% 13.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.8% 21.2% - โœ“
Margin 90.7% 9.3% -12.5 โœ“ (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 75.3% 24.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.5% 5.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 75.2% 24.8% - โœ“

Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -3 (60-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Brust * 36 5-11 3-7 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 13 8 -
Jared Berggren * 34 6-8 0-0 0-1 10 0 0 2 1 12 15 -
Traevon Jackson * 31 6-11 3-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 15 12 -
Mike Bruesewitz * 27 0-3 0-2 4-4 2 3 1 0 2 4 5 -
Ryan Evans * 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Sam Dekker 34 3-10 1-6 7-8 4 1 0 1 0 14 10 -
George Marshall 9 0-2 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
Frank Kaminsky 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Zak Showalter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Newbill * 40 9-20 1-2 3-4 0 5 0 0 1 22 6 -
R. Travis * 38 2-3 0-0 2-2 11 1 1 0 0 6 16 -
J. Marshall * 36 9-20 2-5 3-3 5 1 1 0 4 23 6 -
N. Colella * 35 0-2 0-1 2-3 5 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
S. Borovnjak * 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
J. Graham 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 3 4 -
B. Taylor 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Montminy 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Ackerman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter