Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | โ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.5 | โ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | โ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Canaan * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 37 | - |
| Stacy Wilson * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Edward Daniel * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Garrett * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Dexter Fields * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jeffery Moss | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Latreze Mushatt | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Mann * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Ian Clark * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Kerron Johnson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Trevor Noack * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Blake Jenkins * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Reece Chamberlain | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Baker | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Craig Bradshaw | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Adam Barnes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Turner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter