Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 97.2% | 2.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.6% | 18.4% | -8.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +1 (89-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirk * | 35 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 35 | 7-13 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 31 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kendall Williams * | 31 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow * | 19 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Chad Adams | 22 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Pancake Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kory Alford | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nick Banyard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Fletcher * | 37 | 7-9 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Michael Lyons * | 35 | 11-21 | 4-13 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Green * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 16 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Cam Michael | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Tre' Coggins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter