Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.4% | 35.6% | -3.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -3 (85-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris McNealy * | 36 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Daman Starring * | 34 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Mike Wilder * | 33 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Will Davis * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Alex Young * | 26 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| John Ryan | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Travis Souza | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Derick Flowers | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Conor Clifford | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Aaron Wright | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hawkins * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 9-14 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens * | 35 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Howley * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 28 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Paolo Mancasola * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Les | 24 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Josh Ritchart | 12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Clint Bozner | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter