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2013-03-09

Model Predictions

Model UC Irvine Anteaters UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 56.8% 43.2% -
Bradley-Terry 42.5% 57.5% -
Margin 64.4% 35.6% -3.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 57.5% 42.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.8% 23.2% -
Log Adjusted 77.0% 23.0% -

Actual: UC Davis Aggies -3 (85-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. McNealy * 36 7-14 1-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 15 9 -
D. Starring * 34 3-11 2-7 4-4 2 3 1 0 1 12 6 -
M. Wilder * 33 6-12 4-9 2-3 9 3 2 1 0 18 21 -
W. Davis II * 27 7-11 0-0 4-4 12 1 0 2 0 18 22 -
A. Young * 26 5-14 0-4 1-1 5 4 0 0 0 11 6 -
J. Ryan 14 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
T. Souza 12 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
D. Flowers 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 0 1 -
C. Clifford 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Wright 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hawkins * 36 6-13 0-2 9-14 5 3 2 0 0 21 18 -
R. Sypkens * 35 4-8 2-3 2-2 6 0 1 0 0 12 11 -
R. Howley * 32 3-7 1-1 2-2 8 2 0 0 0 9 12 -
J.T. Adenrele * 28 7-15 0-0 4-5 5 2 0 4 4 18 10 -
P. Mancasola * 27 2-5 1-2 5-5 2 2 0 0 4 10 5 -
T. Les 24 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 6 6 -
J. Ritchart 12 2-4 2-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 7 8 -
C. Bozner 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter