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2013-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Kansas Jayhawks Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 1.1% 98.9% -
Bradley-Terry 1.0% 99.0% -
Margin 44.2% 55.8% +1.3 (21.7 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% -
Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.8% 13.2% -
Log Adjusted 87.0% 13.0% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +23 (81-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Releford * 36 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 2 0 -
J. Withey * 34 3-3 0-0 2-4 8 1 0 4 2 8 16 -
B. McLemore * 34 8-16 5-9 2-3 3 2 0 0 4 23 8 -
E. Johnson * 32 3-13 1-6 3-4 4 2 1 0 3 10 1 -
K. Young * 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
P. Ellis 22 5-7 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 12 11 -
N. Tharpe 13 1-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -
J. Traylor 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
A. White III 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Adams 2 0-0 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 -
J. Wesley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Roberts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jackson * 38 11-13 2-3 4-5 6 10 2 0 3 28 30 -
I. Austin * 33 3-7 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 4 1 11 14 -
C. Jefferson * 31 11-13 3-3 0-2 7 0 0 3 1 25 21 -
A.J. Walton * 30 3-8 0-2 6-9 4 5 1 0 4 12 10 -
B. Heslip * 25 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 5 4 -
R. Gathers 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Bello 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 0 2 -
G. Franklin 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Prince 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Neubert 1 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L.J. Rose 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter