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2013-03-09

Model Predictions

Model UAB Blazers Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 6.6% 93.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Margin 7.1% 92.9% +14.1 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.4% 95.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.5% 77.5% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Tigers +15 (86-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UAB Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Taylor * 35 4-5 4-5 0-0 0 4 4 0 4 12 11 -
R. Williams * 34 3-9 1-4 1-3 8 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
R. Rucker * 34 7-16 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 2 16 4 -
J. Swing * 31 7-15 1-6 4-6 7 5 2 0 4 19 14 -
P. Purifoy * 12 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 1 3 6 3 -
F. Alihodzic 28 3-8 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 1 8 6 -
I. Jones 12 0-2 0-2 0-1 2 3 1 0 0 0 4 -
Taleyah Jones 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
A. Scotland-Williamson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Moton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Jackson * 38 6-10 1-1 4-6 9 10 6 1 4 17 29 -
Geron Johnson * 31 8-14 3-4 0-0 3 4 3 0 1 19 14 -
Adonis Thomas * 22 1-9 1-2 4-4 0 2 2 0 1 7 1 -
D.J. Stephens * 21 5-6 0-0 3-3 8 0 3 0 1 13 17 -
Shaq Goodwin * 15 2-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 4 2 -
Tarik Black 28 2-2 0-0 2-5 6 3 0 1 2 6 12 -
Chris Crawford 28 6-15 5-10 3-3 3 3 0 0 4 20 7 -
Damien Wilson 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
Ferrakohn Hall 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Charles Holt 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Stan Simpson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Anthony Cole 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Trey Draper 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Hippolyte Tsafack 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter