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2013-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Marshall Thundering Herd East Carolina Pirates Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.1% 79.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“

Actual: East Carolina Pirates +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marshall Thundering Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Kane * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 12 5 0 5 20 39 -
E. Pittman * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 21 26 -
R. Goff * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 3 0 0 27 38 -
D. Tinnon * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 6 12 -
N. Spikes * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 2 1 2 13 -
D.D. Scarver 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 -
D. Boykins 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Manning 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Y. Mbao 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

East Carolina Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maurice Kemp * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 21 29 -
Miguel Paul * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 10 1 1 5 22 31 -
Robert Sampson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 2 3 7 19 -
Paris Roberts-Campbell * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 1 0 3 10 -
Ty Armstrong * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 13 17 -
Akeem Richmond 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 18 22 -
Prince Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Marshall Guilmette 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Michael Zangari 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter