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2013-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 10.7% 89.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.3% 78.7% - โœ“
Margin 7.4% 92.6% +13.9 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.8% 77.2% - โœ“

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +16 (73-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Atkins * 38 3-8 2-5 1-2 1 3 1 0 3 9 3 -
Jerian Grant * 38 2-12 1-7 3-4 2 7 1 1 2 8 5 -
Pat Connaughton * 32 5-10 2-5 1-2 7 1 1 0 2 13 10 -
Jack Cooley * 21 3-9 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 1 1 7 5 -
Tom Knight * 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 2 2 -
Garrick Sherman 25 7-9 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 2 1 14 10 -
Zach Auguste 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
Austin Burgett 14 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Patrick Crowley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Siva * 34 5-9 3-6 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 13 12 -
G. Dieng * 33 8-11 0-0 4-6 11 1 3 5 3 20 26 -
R. Smith * 27 2-8 0-1 1-2 2 4 1 0 1 5 3 -
C. Behanan * 26 2-3 0-0 3-4 3 3 0 0 2 7 8 -
W. Blackshear * 13 2-6 1-3 3-3 1 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
L. Hancock 21 3-7 2-4 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 10 10 -
K. Ware 18 3-4 0-1 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 8 9 -
M. Harrell 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 4 -
T. Henderson 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
S. Van Treese 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Z. Price 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter